Market Waterfall Tool (Excel): From Market Size to Sales Analysis

Market Waterfall Tool (Excel): From Market Size (TAM) to Sales Performance

Understanding how a total market translates into actual sales is a key challenge for marketing and sales teams. Market size is often analyzed separately from sales funnel performance, making it difficult to identify where opportunities are lost.

The Market Waterfall Tool is an Excel-based model designed to bridge this gap. It enables you to structure and visualize the progression from total market (including Total Addressable Market – TAM and Serviceable Available Market – SAM) to opportunities, orders, and sales.

By connecting market size, sales coverage, and funnel conversion, the tool provides a clear framework to assess go-to-market performance, identify gaps, and support data-driven decisions.

Designed for professional use, this tool enables structured discussions across Marketing and Sales teams, even when data is partial or estimated. It is available in two versions:

  • Single version: Provides the capability to display a single waterfall with graphs and metrics.
  • Full version: Includes two independent waterfalls:
    • Single Waterfall: Same capability as the Single version.
    • Waterfall by Segment: Allows the display of a waterfall filtered across multiple market segments and time periods.

To view images, click the magnifying glass icon in the top right corner of the image, or browse through the image carousel below.

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Price range: €23.00 through €120.00 excl. tax

SKU MT-MWF-SET Category

Description

From Analysis to Action

The Market Waterfall Tool operationalizes the Market Waterfall Analysis by translating concepts into a structured Excel model. It allows teams to move from qualitative discussions to quantitative analysis, making it easier to identify gaps, prioritize actions, and monitor performance over time.

To understand the underlying framework, see our Market Waterfall Analysis page.

Key Features of the Market Waterfall Tool

Dynamic Excel Slicers for Market Data

  • Analyze the market with dynamic Excel slicers for dates and segments
  • Filter data to focus on specific market segments or time periods

Market Waterfall Analysis

  • Map volumes from total market (TAM) to opportunities, orders, and sales
  • Visualize market size, coverage, and sales funnel performance through customizable graphs

Go-to-Market Visibility and Coverage

  • Compare market share and performance across segments
  • Support structured market penetration analysis and strategic decision-making

Multiple Versions for Flexibility

  • Single Waterfall Version: Analyze one segment with a clear view of the market-to-sales progression
  • Waterfall by Segment Version: Compare multiple segments and time periods using advanced filtering

How to Use the Tool

  • Enter your data in the dedicated input tab
  • Select segments and time periods using slicers
  • Analyze the progression from market size to sales
  • Visualize results to identify gaps in visibility, coverage, and conversion

Use Cases

Market Size and Sales Funnel Analysis

Analyze how your total market translates into opportunities and sales. Identify gaps in market visibility, sales coverage, and conversion performance.

Go-to-Market Performance Discussion

Compare performance across segments and align Marketing and Sales teams around data-driven insights and improvement priorities.

The Proposed Excel Tool Exists in Two Versions

Single Waterfall

Used to analyze a single market segment from total market to orders or sales. Data is entered directly and results are updated instantly.

Waterfall by Segment

Allows filtering across multiple market segments and time periods. This version supports deeper analysis and comparison, helping establish structured and repeatable performance reviews.

Common Structure of the Market Waterfall

Each version allows the display of the following steps:

  • Total Market
  • Addressable Market
  • Covered Market
  • Opportunities
  • Orders
  • Sales (optional – the column can be hidden if not required)

Advanced Features

Flexible Definitions

  • Rename steps depending on your business model
  • Merge steps such as orders and sales for flow-based activities

Graphical Visualization

  • Built-in waterfall charts provide a clear visual representation of step-by-step performance
  • Supports precise gap analysis and structured discussions

Multiple Metrics Automatically Calculated

  • Coverage (%)
  • Visibility (%)
  • Market Share
  • Win/Loss Ratio
  • Converted Top Line

The “Show Toolbar” menu grants access to comments useful for tool customization

Single Waterfall Version – Data Entry and Structure

  • Data entered directly below the graph
  • Automatic calculation of results

Waterfall by Segment – Advanced Analysis (Full Version)

The Waterfall by Segment feature allows you to analyze how market size, coverage, and sales performance evolve across multiple dimensions such as regions, product lines, or market tiers.

A key strength of this functionality is the ability to combine detailed analysis with high-level aggregation. Using Excel slicers, you can explore specific segments or consolidate data dynamically to obtain a global view of performance.

Data Entry and Structure

The Waterfall by Segment is populated via the dedicated tab “2.1. Data by Segment.”

  • Supports multiple criteria, including time periods and market segments
  • Designed for high granularity data entry to maximize analytical flexibility
  • Includes:
    • 3 slicers for time periods
    • 4 slicers for market segmentation

To ensure data consistency, built-in checks validate numeric inputs and highlight any issues.

Pre-Populated Example and Customization

The tool includes pre-filled example data to illustrate how segmentation can be structured:

  • Periods: Year, Quarter, and optional monthly view
  • Segments: Regions, modalities (P&L), market tiers, or custom dimensions

All slicers and structures can be adapted to match your organization’s data and segmentation logic.

Segment Analysis and Contribution

Data is consolidated using a pivot table, enabling dynamic aggregation across selected segments and time periods.

You can:

  • View the total market waterfall across all selected dimensions
  • Display individual segment contributions using the “Select Segment to Display” option

This allows for a clear understanding of how each segment contributes to overall performance.

Flexible Aggregation with Slicers

A key capability of the tool is the ability to hide or display slicers dynamically, enabling different levels of analysis:

  • When slicers are active → detailed segment analysis
  • When slicers are hidden → data is automatically aggregated

For example, you can:

  • Combine multiple product lines or market tiers
  • Focus on a single dimension such as regions
  • Move seamlessly between granular analysis and consolidated views

This flexibility supports both operational reviews and strategic decision-making.

Using Slicers for Multi-Dimensional Analysis

  • Select one or multiple segments using slicers (CTRL + click)
  • Combine time periods and segmentation dimensions
  • Refresh data dynamically after updates

After updating data, simply click “Refresh All” to recalculate results.

Related Frameworks and Concepts

The Market Waterfall Analysis is most effective when connected to broader marketing frameworks:

Usage & Licensing

This product is intended for professional use only. Please review the Sales Conditions to fully understand your rights and usage limitations.

  • Licensed for a single business unit (up to 100 employees)

  • Additional licenses required beyond this scope

  • Download link valid for 2 months

  • Up to 10 downloads allowed

Users have full access to the application, including embedded macros, and may adapt it to their needs. However, all branding, trademarks, and references must remain visible and unchanged.

Ensure that you have Microsoft Excel and a PC running Windows before purchasing this application. This application uses advanced dynamic range calculations introduced by Microsoft. Please ensure that you are using a compatible version of Excel, such as Microsoft 365, or any version released after Excel 2019 which supports this feature.

We appreciate your feedback on how to improve this application. Feel free to share your suggestions with us at contact@marketingdecision.org

Additional information

Version

Waterfall SINGLE version, Waterfall FULL version

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